A novel prognostic risk model for patients with refractory/relapsed acute myeloid leukemia receiving venetoclax plus hypomethylating agents

Abstract

Off-label hypomethylating agents and venetoclax (HMA/VEN) are often used for relapsed and refractory (R/R) AML patients. However, predictors of outcome are elusive. The objective of the current retrospective observational multicenter study of 240 adult patients (median age 68.6 years) with R/R AML was to establish a prognostic risk score. Overall response was documented in 106 (44%) patients. With a median follow-up of 31.5 months, 179 deaths were recorded. Median overall survival (mOS) was 7.9 months. In multivariate analysis of the subgroup with molecular information (n = 174), risk factors for inferior survival included the presence of extramedullary disease, HMA pretreatment and mutations in NF1, PTPN11, FLT3, and TP53, whereas mutated SF3B1 was identified as favorable risk factor. These risk factors were subsequently applied to construct an HR-weighted risk model that allocated patients to one of three risk groups with significantly different survival outcomes: favorable (n = 46; mOS 21.4 months), intermediate (n = 75; mOS 7.5 months), and adverse (n = 53; mOS 4.6 months; p < 0.001). The model was validated in 189 AML patients treated with HMA/VEN in first line. This clinical-molecular, 3-tiered venetoclax prognostic risk score (VEN-PRS) for HMA/VEN treatment outcomes in R/R AML patients will support the selection of appropriate treatment options in this high-risk population.